Alright, let’s talk about this Alcaraz vs Rublev match. I’ve been following these two for a while, and their recent games got me thinking about how this next one might play out. So, I decided to dig into their past performances and see if I could figure out what might happen.
First off, I looked up their head-to-head stats. Turns out, they’ve met twice before. One time, Rublev took Alcaraz down in Madrid. That was a real nail-biter, Rublev came from behind and surprised everyone, Alcaraz included, I bet. They also played at the 2024 Madrid Open, and it was another close one, but Rublev won again. So, I started thinking, “Okay, Rublev seems to have Alcaraz’s number, at least for now.”
Then, I started looking at some predictions and betting odds. People are putting Alcaraz as the favorite, but not by a huge margin. The odds are something like -188 for Alcaraz and +170 for Rublev. Spread bets are leaning towards Alcaraz too, but again, it’s not a sure thing. Some folks are saying over 22.5 total sets is a good bet, which means they expect a long match. I also looked at the total sets they have played. They have played five total sets, Alcaraz has won three and Rublev has won two. For total games, Alcaraz has won 47 games.
Now, here’s where it gets interesting. I saw this news about Alcaraz having some health issues, like some kind of respiratory thing. Apparently, it affected his performance in a recent match against Casper Ruud. He even said he’s “struggling” and “could be better.” So, I thought, “This could be a factor.” A player’s health can totally change the game, right? And we know that he is a four-time Grand Slam champion. So, I should also consider these achievements.
So, I put all this information together. On one hand, Rublev has beaten Alcaraz before, and he seems to be in good form. On the other hand, Alcaraz is generally considered the stronger player, but he’s not 100% healthy. And they are going to play at the 2024 ATP Finals on November 13.
After thinking it through, I made my own little prediction. I’m leaning towards Rublev, especially with Alcaraz not feeling his best. But, tennis is unpredictable, you know? One day a player can be on fire, the next day not so much. It’s going to be an exciting match, that’s for sure.
I even jotted down some notes for myself:
- Head-to-head: Rublev leads 2-0.
- Recent form: Rublev seems strong, Alcaraz a bit shaky due to health.
- Odds: Alcaraz is the favorite, but it’s close.
- My prediction: Rublev might edge out a win.
I am not saying I am sure of the result, but this is all the progress I made, to share with you guys. I just used whatever info I could find and my own gut feeling based on watching these guys play. We’ll see what happens on November 13!
