Okay, so I’ve been trying to get a handle on predicting Leverkusen’s results. It’s been a wild ride, and I figured I’d share my, shall we say, process.
First, I started by just watching their games. Lots of them. Seriously, I think I’ve seen more Bundesliga matches in the past few months than I have in my entire life. I just wanted to get a feel for how they play, their strengths, their weaknesses, you know?
Then, I dove into the stats. I mean, really dove in. I grabbed data from all sorts of places – goals scored, goals conceded, possession, shots on target, shots off target, you name it. I felt like I was drowning in numbers!
Next up, I tried to organize everything. I dumped all those numbers into spreadsheets. I made charts. I colored things. It looked like a rainbow threw up on my computer screen, but hey, it was organized chaos.
My “Secret” Formula (Don’t Tell Anyone)
- Form: How have they been playing lately? Wins, losses, draws…the usual.
- Opponent: Are they playing a top team, a bottom team, or someone in the middle?
- Home/Away: Does Leverkusen play better at home or on the road? (Spoiler: they’re pretty good everywhere).
- Injuries: This one’s a killer. Are key players out?
- My gut. Sometime you just feel it, is hard to explain.
After that, it was all about tinkering. I played around with different weighting for each factor. How much should I value recent form versus opponent strength? Is home advantage really that important? It was a lot of trial and error. And I mean, a lot of error.
Finally, I started making actual predictions. I’d plug in the numbers for an upcoming match, hold my breath, and see what the spreadsheet spit out. Some predictions were spot on. Some were…well, let’s just say I’m not quitting my day job to become a professional gambler anytime soon.
So, that’s my journey so far. It’s messy, it’s imperfect, but it’s mine. I’m still learning, still tweaking, and still hoping to crack the code of Leverkusen’s success. If I ever figure it out completely, I’ll be sure to let you know (maybe).
