Alright, so I decided to take a look at this Finland versus New Zealand basketball game. It popped up and I got curious about how it might play out. Didn’t have any insider info, just did my usual routine when I try to figure these things out.

Checking Out the Teams
First thing, I just went digging for some recent info. You gotta know how they’ve been playing lately, right?
- Finland: I looked up their last few games. Saw they rely a heck of a lot on Lauri Markkanen. Makes sense, he’s their big star playing in the NBA. If he has a huge game, they look dangerous. But if he’s shut down, or just has an off night, it seems like they struggle quite a bit more to get points. Their overall team depth maybe isn’t super strong past him.
- New Zealand: Then I checked out the Tall Blacks. They usually don’t have that one massive star like Finland does. Seem more like a team that plays really hard together, lots of energy, pretty physical. They rely on everyone chipping in, moving the ball, maybe hitting some outside shots. They always seem to fight, no matter who they play.
My Thought Process
So, after getting a basic feel, I started piecing it together in my head. It wasn’t about complex stats for me, more about the simple picture.
The big question mark was obviously Markkanen. Could New Zealand handle him? He’s a tall guy who can score inside and out. That’s tough for any team. If New Zealand couldn’t slow him down, I figured Finland had a really good edge.
But then I thought about New Zealand’s style. They usually bring a lot of intensity on defense. Maybe they could throw different looks at Markkanen, try to frustrate him, make him work hard for everything. If they managed that, and their own guys hit some shots, the game could get really interesting.
I also considered the context, like it being a big tournament game (FIBA World Cup). Stakes are high, which can make teams play differently. Sometimes the pressure gets to players, sometimes it brings out their best.
Making the Call (Sort Of)
So, weighing it all up, it felt like a classic matchup: star power versus team grit.
I leaned towards Finland, mostly because a player like Markkanen can just take over a game at this level. It felt like his potential impact was the single biggest factor on the court. Even if New Zealand played tough defense, stopping a guy like that completely is really hard.
But I definitely didn’t count New Zealand out. If Finland had a shooting slump, or Markkanen got into foul trouble, I could totally see the Tall Blacks grinding out a win with their hustle and teamwork.

So yeah, that was my process. Looked at recent form, key players, team styles, and then just kinda went with my gut feeling based on that main matchup. Predicting sports is never easy, but that’s how I approached this one.