Alright, let’s dive into my Chris Godwin fantasy outlook for 2024. I spent a chunk of yesterday afternoon digging into this, so here’s the brain dump.
First off, the situation: Godwin is still in Tampa Bay, which is good. We know he and Baker Mayfield have some chemistry. But, and this is a big but, there’s a new offensive coordinator. Liam Coen is in, and that changes things. I started by looking at Coen’s past offenses. What did he do in LA with the Rams? What kind of receivers thrived? Gotta figure out how Godwin might fit.
Then, I jumped into the stats. Forget the hype. I wanted raw numbers. Targets, receptions, yards per route run, air yards… the whole shebang. I compared Godwin’s 2022 and 2023 seasons, paying close attention to how he performed with and without Mike Evans getting all the attention. Evans being there definitely impacts Godwin’s opportunities, gotta acknowledge that.
Next up: Film study (sort of). Okay, I didn’t break down every single play, but I watched a bunch of game highlights. I focused on how Godwin was being used. Was he mostly running short routes over the middle? Deep shots down the sideline? Gotta see how the team are actually utilizing Godwin’s skills.
The competition: Can’t ignore the other receivers in Tampa. Mike Evans is the obvious one. But what about the younger guys? Are any of them poised to steal targets from Godwin? Also, how much does the tight end situation play a role? Are they going to be heavily involved in the passing game?
ADP Analysis: Where is Godwin being drafted right now? Is he being overvalued or undervalued? This is crucial. There’s no point in liking a player if you have to reach way too high to get him. Check out a bunch of different sources, like FantasyPros and ESPN, to get a feel for his average draft position.
Finally, I put it all together. Took all the information I gathered – the coaching change, the stats, the film, the competition, the ADP – and formed my own opinion. Is Godwin a WR2 with upside? A low-end WR3? A complete avoid? That’s the million-dollar question.
- The good: Godwin is a proven talent with a good quarterback in a pass-heavy offense.
- The bad: The new offensive coordinator is a wildcard. Mike Evans is still the alpha receiver. Godwin’s ADP might be too high.
My conclusion? Godwin is risky, but he could pay off. He is someone to consider if he drops to the right spot in your draft.
Hope this helps you dominate your fantasy league!
